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The Myths about Turkey: Part I

Apr 1st, 2011 | By Serkan Bulut | Tags: , , , , ,

Myth I: Tur­key will proof to be a Tro­jan horse !

The fam­ous story of the Greeks’ cap­ture of the city of Troy using the decoy of a wooden horse in which sol­diers were hid­den is a well-known one. It cre­ates a power­ful his­tor­ical image in mind and this is why it is pop­u­lar when it comes to describ­ing the Turk­ish bid to the EU.

Tur­key: Tro­jan horse of the Islam?

There are two aspects of this myth. On the one side are the people who believe that Tur­key will be the Tro­jan Horse of the Islam in Europe and that through Turk­ish EU mem­ber­ship, Europe will be Islam­ized, mean­ing that Europe will become a “Muslim” con­tin­ent. This group envi­sions a reli­gious dom­in­a­tion of Europe by Turks; a pro­cess which will turn Europe into Eura­bia. Through con­ver­sion and high birthrates this groups believes that Muslims will finally over­run Europe. Of course this argu­ment has its con­nec­tions with argu­ments against Muslim immig­rants of dif­fer­ent ori­gins, other than Turk­ish, as well. Artic­u­lat­ing the already “high” num­ber of Muslim immig­rants in Europe, adding the incom­ing 70+ mil­lion Turk­ish Muslims, this argu­ment paints a dooms­day scen­ario for sec­u­lar Europe. From this per­spect­ive Tur­key is not or “no longer” a sec­u­lar coun­try and its “Islamic” nature is the dag­ger that aims at the heart of Europe. Just like in any other myth this claim lacks a solid base of evid­ence; mere rehash­ing of his­tor­ical fears and pro­duc­tion of a new gen­er­a­tion of phobias.

I’m not say­ing that integ­ra­tion of a coun­try with a large pop­u­la­tion will be a prob­lem free pro­cess but the prob­lems will not be of a reli­gious nature. Turks have always had ambi­tions for the future. Whether real­istic or unreal­istic, rational or irra­tional they have always thought that they are destined to do great things. How­ever, a reli­gious dom­in­a­tion of Europe is not part of the Turk­ish agenda. This goes espe­cially when it con­cerns the youth.

Tur­key: Tro­jan Horse of the U.S.?

The other aspect of this myth is the one that sees Tur­key as a Tro­jan horse of the US in the EU. This group is skep­tical of Eng­lish policies as well and tends to see Tur­key as a second Eng­land in the EU. There are sev­eral assump­tions behind such a the­ory that cre­ates this myth and as these assump­tions are flawed: the whole the­ory is misguided.

First of all, claim­ing that Tur­key will be an agent of the US within the EU implies that the EU and the US are exper­i­en­cing sig­ni­fic­ant clashes of interest and that Tur­key will join Eng­land in under­min­ing the EU against the US. When was the last biggest clash of interest/policy between the EU and the US since the fall of Soviet Union? It was the war in Iraq and there was no sig­ni­fic­ant dif­fer­ence between the Franco-German atti­tude towards the war and Amer­ican policies, and the Turk­ish. In fact, Turk­ish oppos­i­tion to the war severely dam­aged the rela­tions with the US which took years to nor­mal­ize, while many European states con­trib­uted to the war efforts.

Secondly, Eng­lish and Turk­ish ideas about integ­ra­tion and deep­en­ing of the Union are com­pletely dif­fer­ent. Bri­tain prefers to limit its integ­ra­tion to con­tin­ental Europe. Tur­key, how­ever, in fact des­per­ately wants to integ­rate itself into Europe and turn itself and the EU as a viable actor in global polit­ics and a counter-balance of the US, espe­cially in the Middle East.

All in all, the argu­ment that Tur­key will be the Tro­jan horse of the US in the EU is prob­lem­atic from the very assump­tions it lays its found­a­tion on. It assumes a ten­sion between the two sides of the Atlantic which is neither inher­ent nor char­ac­ter­istic of this rela­tion­ship. And it falls into the trap of com­par­ing Bri­tain which holds a “spe­cial” rela­tion­ship with the US to Tur­key, a coun­try that strives to find a new refined role in its regional polit­ics and sees the EU as an import­ant plat­form to real­ize that wish.

Related posts:

  1. The Myths about Tur­key: Part II
    April 3rd, 2011
  2. The Myths about Tur­key: Part III
    April 5th, 2011
  3. The Myths about Tur­key: Part IV
    April 9th, 2011
  4. Rethink­ing the EU’s future: Two play­ers of a game, Tur­key and the EU
    March 14th, 2012
  5. Turkey-EU Rela­tions at Crit­ical Cross­road
    Octo­ber 17th, 2012

11 Comments to “The Myths about Turkey: Part I”

  1. Hi,

    Nat­ur­ally I have to dis­agree with you on cer­tain points, espe­cially the one on the effect of Islam in Europe. For someone who lives in a West­ern coun­try your art­icle might be con­vin­cing, how­ever for someone like me who comes from Ser­bia and lives in Cyprus a com­pletely dif­fer­ent image arises.

    Many people might be afraid to say it but it’s true, mod­ern day Islam and pre­dom­in­antly Chris­tian coun­tries can not go together. This is clearly seen in cer­tain European coun­tries such as Ser­bia, Greece, Bul­garia and even recently in Ger­many.
    In Ser­bia, the south has a con­sid­er­able amount of Muslims. These people refuse to be integ­rated into the Ser­bian sys­tem but would rather look towards Istan­bul and wait for dir­ec­tions from Ank­ara. This starts to cre­ate ser­i­ous social issues where young Chris­ti­ans liv­ing in the south­ern cit­ies start to feel threatened by these reli­gious extrem­ists.
    On a recent visit to Ser­bia by Erdogan, he vis­ited the region and through his speeches he was just adding oil to the fire. He even went a step fur­ther to open a Turk­ish cul­tural centre in Novi Pazar in addi­tion to ask­ing for the open­ing of a new mosque in Bel­grade. I just won­der where he finds the cour­age to ask for a second mosque in the city when numer­ous churces on Turk­ish lands are still closed. Not to men­tion the numer­ous cases where Chris­tian churches have been con­ver­ted into mosques as is the case in north Cyprus.
    These social issues are present in south-east Bul­garia where numer­ous Turks live and who also refuse to be integ­rated into the Bul­garian sys­tem and in such a way cre­ate a ser­i­ous gap between the two societies.

    Tur­key needs to under­stand that the European Union is a ”Chris­tian club” (as the vast major­ity is Chris­tian) and until they can respect that reli­gion they have no place in the European Union or Europe for that mat­ter. 3% of it’s land mass does not qual­ify it as European.

    I do not know what is on the mind of the Turk­ish pop­u­la­tion? Do they think that they can just keep on dis­respect­ing Chris­tian­ity while at the same time ask to become mem­bers of the EU? In France out of the 300 registered Imams 150 are Turk­ish cit­izens. It is inter­est­ing since accord­ing to you, Tur­key is a sec­u­lar coun­try which has noth­ing to do with these alega­tions com­ing from unreas­on­able Europeans. It’s worth men­tion­ing that these Imams (just like most of the Turk­ish dia­spora across Europe) can not or barely speaks the local lan­guage and refuses to be integ­rated into the local soci­ety.
    Let us not for­get the rather bad record Tur­key has with the human rights, some­thing Europe finds very important.

    To con­clude there are numer­ous ortho­dox states in the EU today (Greece, Bul­garia, Romania) and coun­tries with a large ortho­dox pop­u­la­tion (Esto­nia, Latvia and Lithuania) which means that they have reas­ons to push for Turkey’s change in atti­tu­tude when it comes to the Chris­tian sites.
    Let us not for­get one of the most import­ant edi­fi­cies for ortho­dox Chris­ti­ans, Agia Sophia, which was con­ver­ted into a mosque back in 1453 and which today is a museum, where ortho­dox Chris­ti­ans have to pay to enter. These are just few cases of why Tur­key should not be allowed into the European Union and this is why I dis­agree with you that these fears are noth­ing but myths. Also you claim that there are no facts, yet there are too many facts which sup­port my argu­ment as well as the facts jus­ti­fy­ing the fears of the European population- just look at Erdogan’s speeches.

    Finally, I do not see the link of the Troyan horse and Tur­key as at that time Otto­man Turks were not any­where close to Europe. Those lands were pop­u­lated by Greeks, who, let’s not for­get were expulsed from their homes in the first half of the past cen­tury. Over 300.000 Greeks were expulsed from Smyrna alone.

    Regards from cold Hel­sinki and look­ing for­ward to read­ing your reply.

  2. Serkan Bulut says:

    Thank you very much for your com­ments. I truly appre­ci­ate your feed­back and respect your views. It is only nat­ural that people have dif­fer­ent opin­ions on top­ics that are dif­fi­cult to swal­low. I will try my best to address your com­ments and present my views in the light of your concerns.

    I think the argu­ment that “mod­ern day Islam and pre­dom­in­antly Chris­tian coun­tries can­not go together” is mis­lead­ing. Integ­ra­tion prob­lems of immig­rant com­munit­ies should not be con­fused with the reli­gious back­ground of the minor­it­ies. Minor­it­ies in Ser­bia, Greece, Bul­garia and even Ger­many are suf­fer­ing from integ­ra­tion issues not because they are Muslim, but because of vari­ous reas­ons start­ing from prob­lem­atic assim­il­a­tion policies to social-cultural-political back­ground of the minorities.

    I would like to learn more about what it means to “refuse to be integ­rated into the Ser­bian sys­tem” actu­ally. I am not very well informed about the spe­cific details of the situ­ation in the South of Ser­bia, but if Muslims liv­ing in the South are enjoy­ing all the rights (I mean all; polit­ical, cul­tural, reli­gious, eco­nomic etc..) to the degree that Serbs and other groups do, but still are threat­en­ing “young Chris­ti­ans” I think those Muslims are ser­i­ously mis­taken then.

    I will be hon­est and blunt; your descrip­tion of the situ­ation in the South and your atti­tude about it ter­ri­fied me a little bit. You are very angry just because a Turk­ish cul­tural cen­ter was opened at Novi Pazar. You are infuri­ated that a second mosque is deman­ded in Bel­grade. Yet in the fol­low­ing parts you (I think right­fully) cri­ti­cize Tur­key for closed churches. For me your ana­lysis of the situ­ation is deeply con­tra­dict­ing. On the one hand you are skep­tical of Tur­key because of its atti­tude about the his­tor­ical churches which most of the time do not really have any prac­ti­cing con­greg­a­tion; on the other hand you are angry at a Muslim minor­ity for demand­ing a place of wor­ship, I am sorry demand­ing a second one!

    Let’s move on to another point. If the pop­u­la­tion in South of Ser­bia is “look­ing towards Istan­bul and wait­ing for dir­ec­tions from Ank­ara” I still fail to see the con­nec­tion with Islam. If this minor­ity in South is look­ing else­where “for dir­ec­tions” because of their reli­gious back­ground it would have made more sense to see them look at Saudi Ara­bia or Iran which would clearly qual­ify more Islamic than Tur­key. If this minor­ity is look­ing towards Istan­bul, I think it is most likely because of polit­ical prob­lems in Ser­bia and the unfor­tu­nate his­tory between the minor­it­ies and Ser­bian major­ity which I do not want to go into detail. I believe tra­cing the ori­gins of the prob­lems Ser­bia is exper­i­en­cing with the “Muslim” minor­ity to Islam, is only a (mis)representation of polit­ical prob­lems and the haunt­ing his­tory between these groups.

    I have the same com­ments about Bul­garian case. If the Turks or Muslims liv­ing in Bul­garia are enjoy­ing the same degree of polit­ical, cul­tural, reli­gious and social free­dom as Bul­garian major­ity does, and if they are still cre­at­ing prob­lems (which one needs to define what kind of prob­lems, as I do not think it is pos­sible to see a group of people cre­at­ing prob­lems, even though they have high income, freely prac­ti­cing their faith, par­ti­cip­at­ing in the polit­ical pro­cess without any obstruc­tion and express­ing their indi­gen­ous cul­ture), I think they are gravely wrong as well. This sounds like a Turk say­ing that “Kurds are all fine everything is great for them but they are still cre­at­ing prob­lems, they are refus­ing to integ­rate into Turk­ish soci­ety. Who would be naïve enough to believe that? If Kurds were enjoy­ing all the freedoms to the degree that they deserve just like any other cit­izen of Tur­key, why would they cre­ate prob­lem or why would they res­ist to integ­ra­tion? I think if the minor­it­ies you men­tioned through­out your com­ment were enjoy­ing the freedoms they deserve, they would have little or no motive to “cre­ate problems”.

    I will not go into “EU as a Chris­tian Club” idea but I would love to hear what other “Europeans” think about this claim. I will only invite you and any­one who thinks it is a good idea to cat­egor­ize EU on reli­gious grounds to think about polit­ical, eco­nomic and secur­ity implic­a­tions of this modus operandi. Any­way, if the EU is a Chris­tian club, then it does not mat­ter what per­cent­age of Tur­key is in Europe or not. But the “per­cent­age” dis­cus­sion is an inter­est­ing one and a fur­ther inter­est­ing point would be to dis­cuss what per­cent­age of Cyprus is in Europe.

    About respect­ing Chris­tian­ity, as a young scholar who is intens­ively inves­ted and inter­ested in inter-faith dia­logue activ­it­ies, I am a firm believer that people should respect faith, any faith. It does not have to be organ­ized reli­gion either. But if we are truly sin­cere in our demand for respect, then we should demand it for all not for one. We should demand it not just for the faith of the major­ity just because they are the majority.

    France has approx­im­ately a pop­u­la­tion of 5 mil­lion Muslims, and com­pared to this num­ber 300 registered imams does not seem high. Obvi­ously there is a demand for clergy to lead reli­gious cere­mon­ies and this demand is sup­plied by Tur­key to some extent. Sec­u­lar­ism in state sys­tem does not mean anti-religionism. I would sug­gest a little research of how Cath­olic schools in France are fun­ded at this point. You would be surprised.

    All in all, I under­stand your con­cerns but I also believe that most of the argu­ments still fall short of provid­ing solid ground of evid­ence in favor. I think Tur­key has its own prob­lems and the EU acces­sion pro­cess is the key factor to work on these issues and improve them. I stand by my argu­ments; Tur­key will not be the Tro­jan horse of Islam in Europe nor will its mem­ber­ship turn Europe into Eurabia.

    I do not find it pro­duct­ive to com­pare what church is open in Tur­key to what mosque is open in Europe because there will always be cases for each side. If one gives the example of Hagia Sophia someone else will respond with Great Mosque of Cór­doba. If you think it would help, I would invite you to search and com­pare num­ber of mosques in South and South East of Europe and churches in Tur­key. After 300-400 years of Otto­man rule how many mosques can you find in Balkans? How many were built by Otto­mans and the local pop­u­la­tions and how many of them remain now? How many of them are open?

    I am always ready to cam­paign for mem­bers of any faith if they are exper­i­en­cing prob­lems in enjoy­ing their reli­gious freedoms and I will always be against anyone/any group if they think they can limit the rights and prac­tices of a minor­ity; be it Muslims doing it to Chris­ti­ans, Chris­ti­ans doing it to Muslims or Sun­nis doing it to Shia or Alevis in Turk­ish case. The key is to demand the same things you want for your­self, for all oth­ers around you; reli­gious respect, polit­ical free­dom, cul­tural expres­sion, social unity…

    Greet­ings to cold Hel­sinki from a rel­at­ively warm Delaware, US and thank you very much for your com­ments and views.

    • Hi,

      First of all the muslims liv­ing in south Ser­bia have even more rights than the actual Serbs. My friends dad is a high rank­ing offi­cial in the army and he told me how much the muslim minor­ity is favor­ized in the region, just to be kept calm. So to answer your ques­tion, they have more rights than Serbs.

      Of course I cri­ti­cize Turkey’s demand for a new mosque in Bel­grade. How can they ask for another place of wor­ship for their people, when the people of the coun­try in which he is in can not prac­tice their own reli­gion freely in Tur­key. It just doesn’t make sense.
      Also the fact that you fail to under­stand the grav­ity of his state­ment (the one related to the mosque) is simply driven by your lack of know­ledge in the Balkan issues. Muslims have caused numer­ous prob­lems in the past couple of dec­ades. Wether it was the launch of bru­tal­it­ies in Bos­nia when a muslim extrem­ist group entered a Ser­bian wed­ding and mas­sacred everyone- res­ult­ing in the siege of Sara­jevo. Other examples are the Muslim extrem­ists in Kosovo who among other things sold 300 Ser­bian women, chil­dren and men into spare parts. The oper­a­tions which took place in Albania were actu­ally car­ried out by a Turk­ish doc­tor. Then numer­ous Ser­bian mon­as­ter­ies dat­ing back to the 12th and 13th cen­tury were com­pletely des­troyed by the UCK which was led by the cur­rent prime min­is­ter of Kosovo Hashim Taci. The inde­pend­ence of Kosovo was sup­por­ted by Tur­key, which if I am not mis­taken was the second coun­try in the world to recog­nize them. Shortly after Erdogan went to Srebren­ica while com­pletely ignor­ing Bra­tunac which was very close from there and where a comem­or­a­tion to the Ser­bian vic­tims took place. He was extremly undip­lo­matic at that time.
      His visit cul­min­ated when he vis­ited Novi Pazar where he was greeted by Turk­ish and Islamic flags and where he opened that fam­ous cul­tural centre. If it was the pres­id­ent of any other muslim coun­try it would not mat­ter, but as I men­tioned above Tur­key has a rather bad record in Serbia.

      I am actu­ally quite happy that you are not going to go into details when it comes to the rela­tion­ship of Ser­bia and its Islamic minor­it­ies because I can’t be bothered to cor­rect you and explain you what actu­ally happened. How­ever, once again I will have to cor­rect you. If you actu­ally bothered to read up on the Ser­bian (see Yugoslav) his­tory you would see why these groups can not turn to big­ger Islamic states such as Iran or Saudi Ara­bia. First of all, Ser­bia was the founder state of the non-aligned move­ment and today enjoys extremly good rela­tions with coun­tries like Iran, Syra, Egypt, Pakistan… These good bilat­eral rela­tions are best por­trayed in the refusal of these coun­tries to recog­nize Kosovo. No big, non-american influ­enced coun­try had recog­nized Kosovo. That is why these Muslims in the south can not look towards those coun­tries. Tur­key which tries to regain its lost influ­ence in the Balkans is nat­ur­ally sup­port­ing these reli­gious extrem­ists in the south. Tur­key has been hid­ing for too long behind its sec­u­lar­ism, how­ever now big cracks are start­ing to appear.

      As for Saudi Ara­bia, they will not give their sup­port to these Muslims simply because Amer­ica doesn’t want them to. First of all, Amer­ica is not a fan of the new Turk­ish policies in the Balkans and second the US is try­ing to dis­tance itself from Kosovo and the muslims in the south. The muslims in the south (mostly Albani­ans) have shown how cap­able they in suc­cess­fully run­ning a coun­try since the sup­port for the inde­pend­ence of Kosovo has gone down from 95% to just over 65%. That says a lot.

      Cyprus is not in Europe, that is a fact that every­one knows. How­ever Cyprus is more European than Tur­key could ever dream of being. The entry of Cyprus should only show that Europe is a Chris­tian club that tends to bend the rules when it favors it. On the other hand it would be really inter­est­ing to see the res­ult of a pan-European vote on wether Tur­key should enter the EU.

      Doesn’t mat­ter how the French cath­olic schools are fun­ded since they are on French ter­rit­or­ies. No one is ques­tion­ing Turk­ish reli­gious schools and their fund­ing which are loc­ated in Tur­key. We are talk­ing about Islamic insti­tu­tions out­side their nat­ive lands.

      All that I am say­ing is that Turks just like other muslim minor­it­ies liv­ing in Europe are demand­ing more rights when their own coun­tries fail to provide the same for Chris­ti­ans. There should be more mosques in Europe when Chris­ti­ans can wor­ship freely in cer­tain coun­tries which do not make it pos­sible for them like­Saudi Ara­bia, and when women will not have to cover up com­pletely when trav­el­ling to cer­tain Islamic states.

      Actu­ally most of the mosques in the Balkans remain fully func­tional. Please check your facts first. For example in Banja Luka all the mosques have been rebuilt just like in the other cit­ies in Repub­lika Srpska, where as only a few churches have been rebuild in the fed­er­a­tion.
      On the other hand your argu­ment on Cor­doba and other sim­ilar lands does not fly. Those lands in South Spain were taken from the ”Span­ish” through war and viol­ence. What the Span­ish did at a later stage was just to take back what was taken from them. The same happened in 1453 when Con­stantinople fell. Today they Chris­ti­ans liv­ing in Tur­key can not prac­tice their reli­gion freely in the lands which one can argue were stolen from them.
      So my point being here is that Tur­key should not be arguing for more reli­gious rights for their own people until all the reli­gious minor­it­ies liv­ing within the Turk­ish bor­ders enjoy all the basic freedom.

      Regards from Finland

  3. Matthijs Hannink says:

    Inter­est­ing blog, but I think this is not the prob­lem. The prob­lem is the con­tinu­ous crack­down on the free press, internal viol­ence going on against the Kurds, deny­ing the Armenian gen­o­cide, dan­ger­ous nation­al­ism etc. A coun­try like this should not be part of the EU, not because its religion.

  4. Serkan Bulut says:

    Hello Nemanja,

    I think we are severely off-topic now. My blog writ­ing was about the unwar­ran­ted fear that when Tur­key joins the EU, Europe will turn into an Islamic con­tin­ent. So your point being here “which is that Tur­key should not be arguing for more reli­gious rights for their own people until all the reli­gious minor­it­ies liv­ing within the Turk­ish bor­ders enjoy all the basic free­dom” is an entirely dif­fer­ent one.

    So if we go back to my ori­ginal point: reli­gious con­ver­sion of Europe is not a future goal for Tur­key and the EU mem­ber­ship will work pos­it­ively for the minor­it­ies liv­ing in Tur­key; be it reli­gious or ethnic.

    I respect your opin­ion but at this point I am feel­ing that we need to move bey­ond and look at the big­ger pic­ture. How would Turk­ish mem­ber­ship influ­ence the Muslim com­munit­ies within the EU? Would this make any pos­it­ive impact on integ­ra­tion prob­lems? If the EU is a Chris­tian club then what does this mean for the Muslim cit­izens of the EU? These are some of the many crit­ical ques­tions that I will be think­ing more about.

    In any case, I appre­ci­ate that you are com­ment­ing on the writ­ings and I will think more about these ques­tions and will try to write more about them.

    Best regards

  5. Christopher Houtkamp says:

    Mat­thijs,

    I can agree with your point of view. In my opin­ion aspirant-member coun­tries should ful­fill all the Copen­ha­gen cri­teria before they join the EU. How­ever, the Union doesn’t seem to take its own cri­teria ser­i­ously. Bul­garia and Romania, two coun­tries with a track record that’s argu­ably worse than Turkey’s, were able to join the EU without sig­ni­fic­ant prob­lems. That’s why I can ima­gine it’s hard for the Turks to under­stand why those two back­ward coun­tries, con­cern­ing both Human Rights and eco­nomic stand­ards, were quite eas­ily allowed to join whilst their coun­try is sys­tem­at­ic­ally refused. On a sid­e­note: I under­stand your point of view con­cern­ing the Armenian gen­o­cide and I can agree with that, but in Europe we also have coun­tries that have com­mit­ted grave acts in the near-past but never pub­licly excused them­selves for it (e.g. The Dutch with their ‘police actions’ in Indonesia).

  6. David Grodzki says:

    I very often have the impres­sion that we are dis­cuss­ing mat­ters that are of lesser rel­ev­ance to Tur­key join­ing the EU. Whenever it seems only slightly pos­sible that some­body might advoc­ate again FOR a Turk­ish mem­ber­ship of the EU some­body else will play the reli­gious card and claim that the EU is a Chris­tian club. Indeed, most coun­tries in the EU are Chris­tian, yet I am not sure if any of them would actu­ally define itself as a Chris­tian coun­try in the first place.
    How­ever, there is another ques­tion that needs to be answered first before you actu­ally dis­cuss EU mem­ber­ship for Tur­key. What is the EU? I believe I have a rather prag­matic defin­i­tion of what the EU is for me. First and fore­most it is an eco­nomic club – because if you want to tell me that it’s a club bound together by a com­mon cul­ture I would be very much inter­ested how many links you can make between the vari­ous coun­tries in the EU. Yes, through­out his­tory there has been inter­ac­tion between them and there might be a shared belief in the val­ues of the EU, yet their applic­a­tion and even their appre­ci­ation is very dif­fer­ent in Rome or Warsaw or Lon­don. If you define the EU as an eco­nomic union then there’s little reason why Tur­key should not join (btw, this would apply to Ukraine too!). Yes, maybe parts of the coun­try are poor and under­developed and it would require a lot of fin­an­cial efforts to bring those to the level of West­ern European eco­nom­ies. How­ever, eco­nom­ic­ally speak­ing Tur­key would prob­ably be more of a desir­able part­ner than Bul­garia or Romania and yet these are in [I do not object to Bulgaria’s or Romania’s mem­ber­ship, how­ever, I think in con­trast to Tur­key, their future eco­nomic out­look is rather bleak).

    There are a num­ber of reas­ons though that come to my mind why Tur­key (and this again applies to Ukraine) will not be admit­ted to the EU any time soon:
    - con­sider its pop­u­la­tion and think where Tur­key would rank among EU mem­ber states – behind Ger­many, yet above the UK or France. Do the maths and find that Tur­key would have almost the same vot­ing power in the EU as Ger­many.
    - con­sider the invest­ments neces­sary to bring large parts of Turkey’s eco­nomic on track with other EU eco­nom­ies. A lot of coun­tries would lose out here and will cer­tainly not agree to share the cake with yet another big country.

    You are cer­tainly right to men­tion the Armenian gen­o­cide and the human rights situ­ation in Tur­key, and I think that the EU is right to refuse Turk­ish mem­ber­ship as long as these issues aren’t dealt with prop­erly. How­ever, do you really believe that Tur­key would be given a fair chance to join once it resolved those prob­lems? I doubt it.

  7. First of all, sorry for the late reply I was away from inter­net for the past few days.

    Serkan,

    Of course that I under­stand that the offi­cial agenda of Ank­ara is not the con­ver­sion of Europe into Islam. How­ever, if we look the recent trend in Tur­key and the pro-Islamic shift, not to men­tion the pro-Iranian policies of the Turk­ish gov­ern­ment one should won­der what does the future hold for Tur­key.
    Per­son­ally, I am not shocked that Tur­key has began act­ing in such a way. For too long Europe have been pulling them around and by blindly fol­low­ing them Tur­key has been only embarass­ing itself.

    Tur­key should do what they did with Turk­ish Air­lines, become a bridge between Europe and the Middle-East. Let’s not for­get that if they do join the EU a lot of their policies will have to be changed, so they should really ask them­selves what do they gain by becom­ing an EU mem­ber state. Unfor­tu­n­tely this is again off-topic so I will not dis­cuss it further.

    David,

    You argue that the EU is more of an eco­nomic club, yet if you read what you wrote you prove my point that the EU is more of a Chris­tian club rather than an eco­nomic one. Like you said, and you are com­pletely right, Bul­garia and Romania are far less desired in the Union than Tur­key but…
    On the other hand, Ser­bia and Croa­tia are far more developped and the levels of cor­rup­tion are far less than in Bul­garia and Romania yet both coun­tries are just like Tur­key, pushed around. How­ever the EU will pay the price as these two coun­tries have found an altern­at­ive to Brus­sels, just like Tur­key did.
    Like I men­tioned pre­vi­ously, the EU is not an eco­nomic club but much more, it’s a Chris­tian club. Even if a lot of coun­tries today are sec­u­lar, the major­ity of Europe is Chris­tian and that plays a big role. Sure coun­tries like Albania could become a mem­ber one day but that is because they are small and they would not have a great impact on Europe, some­thing we can not say for Turkey.

    Best regards from sunny Helsinki!

  8. ormondotvos says:

    The lar­ger and more import­ant issue is how laws are made in these Euro coun­tries: not by refer­ring to God’s law, but by intel­li­gent under­stand­ing of soci­olo­gical evid­ence, debated among peers.

    Tur­key, as you know, is kept sec­u­lar by its mil­it­ary. It seems clear that Tur­key would be the hub of a caliphate in ten seconds without the Turk­ish mil­it­ary car­ry­ing out the will of Ata­turk that it should stay secular.

    The prob­lem with Islamic coun­tries is that the tend­en­cies are always toward theo­cracy, laws made by a god that are inter­preted by unelec­ted priests. That is a dead end in this inter­con­nec­ted world. Theo­cratic tend­en­cies versus demo­cratic tend­en­cies. Where are the demo­cra­cies with Muslim major­it­ies, and NOT tend­ing toward theocracy?

  9. Matthijs Hannink says:

    @ ormon­dot­vos: this is a very simplistic view of real­ity. Tur­key has a demo­crat­ic­ally elec­ted gov­ern­ment and the rul­ing ‘Islamic’ party is not advoc­at­ing any sort of caliphate.

    Actu­ally, I do not see many coun­tries tend­ing toward theo­cracy. I do see almost exclus­ively author­it­arian coun­tries in the Islamic world, but that is some­thing else than theocracy.

  10. ormondotvos says:

    Haven’t been accused of being simplistic lately. You didn’t respond to the hard concept, which is that both theo­cratic and auto­cratic gov­ern­ments rule by fiat, not soci­ology (which is what demo­cracy is sup­posed to exem­plify). Going from an auto­cratic gov­ern­ment to a theo­cratic gov­ern­ment is not an improve­ment, to my simplistic mind. Enlighten me on this. Don’t just ignore it. It’s the key determ­in­ant of gov­ern­mental stability.

    Islam can be seen as harm­less or harm­ful. I go by the mon­strous crowds killing people because some jerk in Flor­ida burns a Koran, fat­wahs against writers, thou­sands of people banging their heads against the ground five times daily about some sky­god whose pos­it­ive dic­tates are eas­ily duplic­ated by merely think­ing about human nature and soci­etal sta­bil­ity. Islam has a poor record for social stability.

    Per­haps Nai­paul could provide a suf­fi­ciently subtle approach for you. Me, I get tired of stor­ies about honor killings, sup­pres­sion of women, brain­wash­ing of chil­dren, viol­ent demon­stra­tions. They exist. Explain them to me. I don’t think it’s soci­etal. I think Islam devel­ops very bad habits from a stable gov­ernance view­point. I don’t like the whole idea of sub­mis­sion. And no, I don’t respect reli­gion, espe­cially the ones cur­rently violent.

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